Verified planning context

Snow, weather and avalanche context

Historical patterns help you compare trips. They do not predict your week or replace the operator's daily decisions.

Evidence reviewed 2026-08-26

Typical operating window

February–AprilGulf of Alaska storms build a deep winter snowpack; heli-ski programs focus on late winter and spring daylight.

Strongest comparable snow evidence

866 cm median · 690–952 cm interquartile rangeNOAA GHCN station USW00026442, Valdez WSOTier B · observed reference · low confidence

Snow character

maritimeMaritime storms can deliver dense snow and rapid loading. Cooling and clear weather may improve surface quality without removing deep hazards.

Public avalanche information

Chugach Avalanche Center and Alaska forecast directoryCNFAIC covers Turnagain-area zones, not every Valdez or Chugach tenure. Confirm geographic coverage.

Weather and flight context

Moist Gulf storms collide with steep coastal terrain, producing heavy snowfall and abrupt visibility changes.

  • Coastal storm cycles
  • All-alpine flat light
  • Strong ridge wind and turbulence

Meteorological reference area

Valdez and western Chugach catalogue area

Includes
Valdez, Thompson Pass, and named western Chugach evidence.
Excludes
Turnagain, broad Alaska, and Tordrillo evidence unless a source states coverage.
Elevation
No verified operator-terrain elevation band is public. Each evidence value retains its site elevation.

Evidence pack

Measurements, claims and gaps stay separate.

Tier BCoastal gateway reference-station snowfall866 cm median · 690–952 cm interquartile range
Site
NOAA GHCN station USW00026442, Valdez WSO · 61.1303, -146.3517 · 29 m · 44 km from the Thompson Pass catalogue reference (61.1980, -145.5527)
Period
July–June snow years, 1991/92–2012/13 within the 1991–2020 window
Completeness
21 complete snow years; the series ended before the standard period finished.
Method
Quality-flagged daily SNOW values summed by snow year; incomplete years excluded.
Limitation
The low coastal station is not Thompson Pass or heli-ski terrain and cannot validate a tenure total.
Tier CModelled snowfall water equivalent — Thompson Pass catalogue area1,311 mm SWE median · 1,120–1,375 mm interquartile range
Site
Thompson Pass catalogue area ERA5-Land grid cell · 61.2000, -145.6000 · 2.5 km from Thompson Pass catalogue area reference point
Period
Calendar years 1991–2020
Completeness
360 monthly means; all 30 calendar years contain 12 values.
Method
ERA5-Land monthly mean daily snowfall accumulation was multiplied by calendar days and 1,000, then summed by calendar year.
Limitation
This reference area supports evidence discovery and comparison. It is not an operating-area or tenure boundary. This unadjusted 0.1° reanalysis grid cell is not an observation, snow depth, or terrain-wide total. Grid elevation and wind redistribution can cause substantial local bias.
Tier CModelled snowfall water equivalent — Valdez1,517 mm SWE median · 1,266–1,654 mm interquartile range
Site
Valdez ERA5-Land grid cell · 61.2000, -146.3000 · 8.1 km from Valdez reference point
Period
Calendar years 1991–2020
Completeness
360 monthly means; all 30 calendar years contain 12 values.
Method
ERA5-Land monthly mean daily snowfall accumulation was multiplied by calendar days and 1,000, then summed by calendar year.
Limitation
This reference area supports evidence discovery and comparison. It is not an operating-area or tenure boundary. The sampled gateway cell can differ substantially from ski elevations. This unadjusted 0.1° reanalysis grid cell is not an observation, snow depth, or terrain-wide total. Grid elevation and wind redistribution can cause substantial local bias.
Tier EPublished commercial snowfall claim500+ in / 12.7+ m operator claim
Site
Thompson Pass and Tsaina Valley near Valdez
Period
Baseline period not published by the source
Completeness
The source does not publish the underlying observation record.
Method
Interested-source claim. Heliski International has not reconstructed the measurement series.
Limitation
This is an operator claim for a named Valdez site, not an official normal for the entire Chugach.

Monthly evidence

Each cell keeps its measurement type and unit. Reanalysis water equivalent is not snow depth. Text-only cells preserve a representative data gap.

Coastal gateway reference-station snowfall
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
173.1 cm snowfall143.2 cm snowfall100.8 cm snowfall52.3 cm snowfall0 cm snowfall0 cm snowfall0 cm snowfall0 cm snowfall0 cm snowfall15.8 cm snowfall101.3 cm snowfall185.7 cm snowfall

Commercial operator assessment

Operator assessment process not independently verified

The operator must assess current snow, avalanche terrain, weather, aircraft limits, and rescue options. No private operational plan is inferred.

Sources and evidence notes

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