Verified planning context

Snow, weather and avalanche context

Historical patterns help you compare trips. They do not predict your week or replace the operator's daily decisions.

Evidence reviewed 2026-08-26

Typical operating window

January–MarchBlack Sea moisture and Caucasus uplift normally build the winter base from December.

Strongest comparable snow evidence

758 mm SWE median · 721–858 mm interquartile rangeMestia ERA5-Land grid cellTier C · modelled estimate · low confidence

Snow character

transitionalDeep storm snow is possible. Wind transport, warming, and persistent weak layers can create complex spatial patterns.

Public avalanche information

Georgia National Environmental Agency warningsNo verified public regional avalanche bulletin was identified for Svaneti.

Weather and flight context

Moist western flow meets high Caucasus terrain, with major variation between valleys and ridges.

  • Mountain cloud
  • Limited observation density
  • Strong wind and remote access

Meteorological reference area

Svaneti and Mestia catalogue area

Includes
Svaneti mountains linked to the Mestia program.
Excludes
The wider Caucasus profile and other Georgian regions.
Elevation
No verified operator-terrain elevation band is public. Each evidence value retains its site elevation.

Evidence pack

Measurements, claims and gaps stay separate.

Tier CModelled snowfall water equivalent758 mm SWE median · 721–858 mm interquartile range
Site
Mestia ERA5-Land grid cell · 43.0000, 42.7000 · 5.3 km from Mestia reference point
Period
Calendar years 1991–2020
Completeness
360 monthly means; all 30 calendar years contain 12 values.
Method
ERA5-Land monthly mean daily snowfall accumulation was multiplied by calendar days and 1,000, then summed by calendar year.
Limitation
This reference area supports evidence discovery and comparison. It is not an operating-area or tenure boundary. The sampled gateway cell can differ substantially from ski elevations. This unadjusted 0.1° reanalysis grid cell is not an observation, snow depth, or terrain-wide total. Grid elevation and wind redistribution can cause substantial local bias.

Monthly evidence

Each cell keeps its measurement type and unit. Reanalysis water equivalent is not snow depth. Text-only cells preserve a representative data gap.

Modelled snowfall water equivalent
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
100.4 mm SWE76.2 mm SWE119.3 mm SWE88.9 mm SWE48.7 mm SWE3.9 mm SWE0 mm SWE0 mm SWE10.7 mm SWE65.1 mm SWE79 mm SWE102.2 mm SWE

Commercial operator assessment

Operator assessment process not independently verified

The operator must assess current snow, avalanche terrain, weather, aircraft limits, and rescue options. No private operational plan is inferred.

Sources and evidence notes

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