Verified planning context

Snow, weather and avalanche context

Historical patterns help you compare trips. They do not predict your week or replace the operator's daily decisions.

Evidence reviewed 2026-08-26

Typical operating window

July–SeptemberSouthern winter storms usually build the operating base from June into July.

Strongest comparable snow evidence

3.10 m published average · 1.84–5.53 m observed rangeMount Larkins electronic weather stationTier B · observed reference · low confidence

Snow character

transitionalCold snow follows southerly storms; northwesterly wind, sun, and warming can rapidly alter exposed surfaces.

Public avalanche information

NZAA Wānaka and Wakatipu regionsPublic NZAA forecasts are not for commercial operators. They provide guest context only.

Weather and flight context

Strong westerly gradients create major differences between the Main Divide and eastern basins.

  • Nor’west wind
  • Orographic cloud
  • Fast warming and flat light

Meteorological reference area

Queenstown and Wānaka program context

Includes
Queenstown and Wānaka program areas and their named alpine reference sites.
Excludes
Aoraki, Tasman Glacier, and Canterbury profiles.
Elevation
No verified operator-terrain elevation band is public. Each evidence value retains its site elevation.

Evidence pack

Measurements, claims and gaps stay separate.

Tier BObserved winter snowfall reference3.10 m published average · 1.84–5.53 m observed range
Site
Mount Larkins electronic weather station · 1900 m · Distance unavailable — the source summary does not publish station coordinates
Period
Twelve winters; exact years are not listed in the published summary
Completeness
Twelve-year summary; annual values and missing periods are not published on the source page.
Method
Earth Sciences New Zealand published mean and observed minimum-to-maximum winter snowfall.
Limitation
The station is one east-of-divide reference and does not represent all Queenstown or Wānaka terrain.
Tier CModelled snowfall water equivalent321 mm SWE median · 262–365 mm interquartile range
Site
Queenstown ERA5-Land grid cell · -45.0000, 168.7000 · 4.5 km from Queenstown reference point
Period
Calendar years 1991–2020
Completeness
360 monthly means; all 30 calendar years contain 12 values.
Method
ERA5-Land monthly mean daily snowfall accumulation was multiplied by calendar days and 1,000, then summed by calendar year.
Limitation
This reference area supports evidence discovery and comparison. It is not an operating-area or tenure boundary. The sampled gateway cell can differ substantially from ski elevations. This unadjusted 0.1° reanalysis grid cell is not an observation, snow depth, or terrain-wide total. Grid elevation and wind redistribution can cause substantial local bias.

Monthly evidence

Each cell keeps its measurement type and unit. Reanalysis water equivalent is not snow depth. Text-only cells preserve a representative data gap.

Modelled snowfall water equivalent
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
0.2 mm SWE0.1 mm SWE1.2 mm SWE6.3 mm SWE26.1 mm SWE52 mm SWE45.5 mm SWE46 mm SWE39.8 mm SWE36 mm SWE16.4 mm SWE2.1 mm SWE

Commercial operator assessment

Operator assessment process not independently verified

The operator must assess current snow, avalanche terrain, weather, aircraft limits, and rescue options. No private operational plan is inferred.

Sources and evidence notes

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