Verified planning context

Snow, weather and avalanche context

Historical patterns help you compare trips. They do not predict your week or replace the operator's daily decisions.

Evidence reviewed 2026-08-26

Typical operating window

July–SeptemberFrequent Southern Alps precipitation builds winter cover, while glacier terrain retains snow beyond lower elevations.

Strongest comparable snow evidence

3.95 m published average · 2.58–5.32 m observed rangeMueller Hut electronic weather stationTier B · observed reference · low confidence

Snow character

maritimeDense storm snow near the divide can transition to dry snow in cold periods and spring corn during clear cycles.

Public avalanche information

NZAA Aoraki/Mount Cook regionThe public advisory excludes commercial use. The operator must use its own formal hazard assessment.

Weather and flight context

The Main Divide forces rapid uplift of moist westerly flow and produces severe alpine gradients.

  • Main Divide cloud
  • Severe wind and turbulence
  • Glacier whiteout

Meteorological reference area

Aoraki Mount Cook program area

Includes
Aoraki Mount Cook program and nearby high-alpine reference sites.
Excludes
Tasman Glacier as a separate comparison profile when evidence is glacier-specific.
Elevation
No verified operator-terrain elevation band is public. Each evidence value retains its site elevation.

Evidence pack

Measurements, claims and gaps stay separate.

Tier BObserved winter snowfall reference3.95 m published average · 2.58–5.32 m observed range
Site
Mueller Hut electronic weather station · 1818 m · Distance unavailable — the source summary does not publish station coordinates
Period
Ten winters; exact years are not listed in the published summary
Completeness
Ten-year summary; annual values and missing periods are not published on the source page.
Method
Earth Sciences New Zealand published mean and observed minimum-to-maximum winter snowfall.
Limitation
The station is below much of the ski terrain and does not measure glacier-wide accumulation.
Tier CModelled snowfall water equivalent595 mm SWE median · 548–686 mm interquartile range
Site
Aoraki Mount Cook ERA5-Land grid cell · -43.6000, 170.1000 · 3.4 km from Aoraki Mount Cook reference point
Period
Calendar years 1991–2020
Completeness
360 monthly means; all 30 calendar years contain 12 values.
Method
ERA5-Land monthly mean daily snowfall accumulation was multiplied by calendar days and 1,000, then summed by calendar year.
Limitation
This reference area supports evidence discovery and comparison. It is not an operating-area or tenure boundary. The sampled gateway cell can differ substantially from ski elevations. This unadjusted 0.1° reanalysis grid cell is not an observation, snow depth, or terrain-wide total. Grid elevation and wind redistribution can cause substantial local bias.

Monthly evidence

Each cell keeps its measurement type and unit. Reanalysis water equivalent is not snow depth. Text-only cells preserve a representative data gap.

Modelled snowfall water equivalent
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
1.9 mm SWE1.6 mm SWE4 mm SWE13.3 mm SWE44.5 mm SWE81.7 mm SWE100.9 mm SWE84.6 mm SWE82.6 mm SWE64.3 mm SWE38.8 mm SWE10.8 mm SWE

Commercial operator assessment

Operator assessment process not independently verified

The operator must assess current snow, avalanche terrain, weather, aircraft limits, and rescue options. No private operational plan is inferred.

Sources and evidence notes

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