Verified planning context

Snow, weather and avalanche context

Historical patterns help you compare trips. They do not predict your week or replace the operator's daily decisions.

Evidence reviewed 2026-08-26

Typical operating window

January–MarchThe seasonal snowpack normally develops from November, with midwinter providing the most reliable cold coverage.

Strongest comparable snow evidence

542 mm SWE median · 494–603 mm interquartile rangeEast Kazakhstan Altai reference ERA5-Land grid cellTier C · modelled estimate · low confidence

Snow character

continentalLow temperatures favour dry snow, while wind and long cold spells can preserve weak layers.

Public avalanche information

Kazhydromet weather and hazard warningsNo verified public regional avalanche bulletin was identified for the operating area.

Weather and flight context

Cold continental air and orographic snowfall create marked valley-to-ridge differences.

  • Extreme cold
  • Remote weather observations
  • Wind and low contrast

Meteorological reference area

Kazakhstan Altai catalogue locations

Includes
Kazakhstan Altai evidence near published programs.
Excludes
Almaty and Russian Altai or Caucasus regions.
Elevation
No verified operator-terrain elevation band is public. Each evidence value retains its site elevation.

Evidence pack

Measurements, claims and gaps stay separate.

Tier CModelled snowfall water equivalent542 mm SWE median · 494–603 mm interquartile range
Site
East Kazakhstan Altai reference ERA5-Land grid cell · 50.3000, 83.5000 · 5.1 km from East Kazakhstan Altai reference reference point
Period
Calendar years 1991–2020
Completeness
360 monthly means; all 30 calendar years contain 12 values.
Method
ERA5-Land monthly mean daily snowfall accumulation was multiplied by calendar days and 1,000, then summed by calendar year.
Limitation
This reference area supports evidence discovery and comparison. It is not an operating-area or tenure boundary. This unadjusted 0.1° reanalysis grid cell is not an observation, snow depth, or terrain-wide total. Grid elevation and wind redistribution can cause substantial local bias.

Monthly evidence

Each cell keeps its measurement type and unit. Reanalysis water equivalent is not snow depth. Text-only cells preserve a representative data gap.

Modelled snowfall water equivalent
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
68.4 mm SWE61.5 mm SWE65.1 mm SWE46.7 mm SWE9.4 mm SWE0 mm SWE0 mm SWE0 mm SWE8.3 mm SWE70 mm SWE97.4 mm SWE86.9 mm SWE

Commercial operator assessment

Operator assessment process not independently verified

The operator must assess current snow, avalanche terrain, weather, aircraft limits, and rescue options. No private operational plan is inferred.

Sources and evidence notes

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